≡ Menu

Paris-Nice Stage 5 Preview

A time trial to shape the overall and see riders like Michał Kwiatkowski, Bob Jungels and Wilco Kelderman put time into Romain Bardet, Nairo Quintana and George Bennett.

Magnus opus: a break of 13 riders formed and the hilly finale thinned this down to four riders with breakaway nobility Alessando De Marchi and Thomas de Gendt, plus Giulio Ciccone and Magnus Cort Nielsen. The latter is known as sprinter although he’s more complete. Still, the question was how the other three could get rid of him. They didn’t find the answer and with 700m MCN flipped the question round, got rid of them, and won solo.

The Route: a 25.5km time trial and it’s flat for 13km – the course runs alongside a canal – and then comes a right-hand bend and a climb to the Frigolet abbey, it’s 2km at 3-4% most of the way. The map doesn’t show it but there are two hairpins just before the top of the climb where the road is steeper. Then the road drops back down towards the Rhone river and picks up a big road for the finish into Barbentane before a steep kick up to the line. In summary it’s a course for fast, powerful riders, even the climb can be ridden in a tuck for the most part and if it’s not tricky, there are technical choices to get shelter from the wind.

The Contenders: race leader Michał Kwiatkowski (Team Sky) is in form and the course suits him, this is his stage to intimidate the climbs who are still within touching distance of him on the GC.

Bob Jungels (Deceuninck-Quickstep) has a course to suit and with the Col de Turini approaching this is his chance to stake a claim on the GC and if not go home with a stage win. L-L Sanchez (Astana) could be close but it’s probably not twisty and technical enough for him but he should be close.

Wilco Kelderman (Team Sunweb) can win today, he’s not a superstar but is a TT specialist. Ilnur Zakarin hasn’t put a foot wrong so far but he hasn’t won a TT in his career either, still this is a big test for him.

Away from the GC contenders and Hugo Houle is Canadian but lives near and the Astana rider is a useful TT rider but it’s hard to see him taking a win in the World Tour while team mate on Ion Izagirre could salvage something after the crosswinds. Edvald Boasson Hagen (Dimension Data) won the TT in Valenciana over a month ago but he’s so enigmatic that that might be it for the season. Tejay van  Garderen (EF Education First) could pop up too.

Michał Kwiatkowski
Ion Izagirre, Bob Jungels, Wilco Kelderman
Sanchez, van Garderen, Houle

Weather: sunshine and a few clouds, and 16°C but the bad weather hasn’t quite gone, the northwesterly wind could get up this afternoon.

TV: The last rider Kwiatkowski comes in at 4.30pm Euro time. It should be available on the same channel you watch the Tour de France and/or Eurosport. If not then cyclingfans and steephill.tv have schedules and streams.

Comments on this entry are closed.

  • Ecky Thump Thursday, 14 March 2019, 6:44 am

    Would it be fair to summarise this race as being Bernal / Quintana v Kwiatkowski / Jungels / LL Sanchez?
    Which of the two Colombians has the stronger TT and how much time will they cede to the other three?
    My guess – Quintana and 40”?
    Which would leave him about a minute down on GC, seems a huge ask for the Queen Stage?

    ps Does Vichy have a Traiteur?

    • Will Thursday, 14 March 2019, 9:04 am

      I think it’s Bernal, 1st and 3rd in His National TT, over 3 minutes up on Quintana in the ITT at last year’s Tour and won a (climbing) TT at Romandie, beating Roglic, Porte and Dennis.

      He lost a minute to Kwaitko in 31km in that TDF time trial so 50seconds would be my best guess.

      • escarabajo Thursday, 14 March 2019, 10:25 am


        Also Egan came third in this year’s Colombian national TT because he flatted mid-course. Admittedly the competition isn’t top level there, but regardless he’s a very complete rider for a 22 year old. TWENTY-TWO!!!

        • The Inner Ring Thursday, 14 March 2019, 10:35 am

          He should be close too, but I can’t see him winning against Kwiatkowski today.

  • Andrej Thursday, 14 March 2019, 7:50 am

    Gorka DNF stage 2

    • The Inner Ring Thursday, 14 March 2019, 10:36 am

      Got it and deleted him from the one chainring picks, thanks.

  • hoh Thursday, 14 March 2019, 8:40 am

    Zakarin won a TT in his debut year. Beating Froome no less. Even though it was a wet TT with Froome possibly soft paddling to stay safe.

    • Anonymous Thursday, 14 March 2019, 10:37 pm

      The only TTs won by Zakarin have been two national Russian championships. I know that some Italian news outlets, who aren’t racists, oh dear me no, like to call Froome the White Kenyan. But White Russian? Never.

  • john hetherington Thursday, 14 March 2019, 8:51 am

    To those of you who classify Egan Bernal as (merely) a climber – watch and learn.

    • The Inner Ring Thursday, 14 March 2019, 10:36 am

      Hopefully this will have been undone a long time ago, if not this week with his riding in the crosswinds.

      • GrannyRing Thursday, 14 March 2019, 1:08 pm

        Bridging to Nibali / Pinot in Lombardia last year was an eye opener! (he was pretty cooked after though).
        His TTing has been pretty good too from what I’ve seen.

        • Othersteve Friday, 15 March 2019, 1:37 am

          Is this Larry T ?

    • StevhanTI Thursday, 14 March 2019, 11:12 am

      So far this week he’s been incredibly impressive

  • Terence McMahon Thursday, 14 March 2019, 1:24 pm

    I’ve been thinking all week Zakarin could be sitting pretty for the overall after this TT with some good climbing still to come. Will be tough to shake Kwiatkowski and also Bernal before the end in Nice though

  • Tim Thursday, 14 March 2019, 2:21 pm

    The Sky trio’s performance this week has made for great viewing. Can’t wait to see what changes (or not) in the GC after today’s ITT!

  • 47x18 Thursday, 14 March 2019, 2:40 pm

    Is he properly called Magnus Cort, or the full MCN? Thank you!

  • Bern Thursday, 14 March 2019, 8:36 pm

    3 EF in the top 10…

Next post:

Previous post: