12 Riders To Watch For 2014

Tuesday, 17 December 2013

Tony Martin

As the 2014 season approaches here is a selection of riders to watch for. I’ve picked six established riders who face different challenges in the new year and six young riders who could impress but first have to bunnyhop the chasm from amateur and pro.

Tony Martin is a winning machine. But if he’s so dominant in time trials, success in bunched racing seems elusive for a rider of his talent and power. Perhaps Martin’s reputation precedes him, nobody can afford to let him get a gap. But he’s almost in danger of being too specialist, too niche. He won’t ride the classics but is too heavy for the high mountains. Now being a specialist is fine and being the world’s best in a speciality is even better, hallo big contract. But it’s just whether he can take that power and deploy it elsewhere, especially to win races rather than act as an engine for OPQS’s sprint train.

Taylor Phinney

What can Taylor Phinney deliver? His win in the Tour of Poland was impressive and great TV. It demonstrated the talent but he’s now about to become a fourth year pro and hasn’t had the success some expected. It’s all relative, he’s got world championship medals, a stage in the Giro and the maglia rosa plus a top-10 in Milan-Sanremo but he can do more. Is a result possible in the classics? One unsung element is his determination, he’s been dropped in a race but ridden on to the finish even if it meant missing the time cut.

Romain Bardet is out of the neo-pro ranks. As Bernard Hinault is only too ready to remind people, a champion like him was winning big right from the start. But beyond Hinault’s worldview a career can be managed with progressive goals. Bardet’s been combining studies with riding and got a labelled at times as “the student cyclist” or “an intellectual” but he’s more than a bookworm brainbox. He’s a bit like Dan Martin, a very good climber but able to read a race and remain cool under pressure and with a useful finishing kick. He won the Tour de l’Ain this year, apparently frustrated to wait so long for a win but watch out for more in 2014.

Where are the limits for Michał Kwiatkowski? The lucky victim of a bidding war between Radioshack and OPQS, the Pole had a quiet season in 2012 before become famous this year. He had a very consistent spring with placings in the Volta ao Algarve and Tirren0-Adriatico where he was at ease on the mountain stage with Chris Froome and Vincenzo Nibali. Fourth in the Amstel, fifth in the Flèche Wallonne and then 11th overall in the Tour de France after wearing the white jersey for much of the race. What will he aim for in 2014 and if he has GC ambitions, how to these overlap with the sprinting support needed for Mark Cavendish and the goals of new OPQS recruit Rigoberto Uran? He’s an elegant rider too with a mellifluous pedalling style but we’ll watch to see the wins rather than his ankles.

Rui Costa

Everyone knows Rui Costa is World Champion but I’d pick him if he wasn’t wearing the rainbow jersey in 2014. He won two stages in the Tour de France, combining tactical calm with big power to launching the right moves at the right time. Some might say he was only able to win these after losing time earlier in the race but he’s won the Tour de Suisse two years in a row proving he can cope with the high mountains and time trials. But so what if he’s lucky or sits on the wheels before pouncing, that’s how you win big, no?

Finally after wondering what the riders above can do, perhaps it’s more a question of what Bradley Wiggins will do? He might be an awkward team mate at times for some but in a broader sense his character often brings something extra to the sport so his absence is noted. After the winning streak of Paris-Nice, Romandie, Dauphiné, Tour de France and Olympic gold, not to mention popularity awards and even a title from the Queen 2013 was always going to be a tricky second album but he struggled to get in shape for the Giro, there was talk of a knee injury but he was turning down Tenerife training camps to spend time with his family. Motivation came back for the Tour of Britain where he was even scouting the stages weeks before the race but if it was at home it’s still a modest event. He’s on a good contract and it’s up to Team Sky to help him find motivation again whilst avoiding a clash with Chris Froome who has quickly become Team Sky’s central rider.

Neo Pros
The strict definition of a neo-pro is any rider who joins a UCI ProTeam or Professional Continental Team for the first time no later than during his twenty-fifth year. In other words it’s not just someone in their first year. Here the challenges are different, the stories above are about confirming talent and assuming leadership. Below it is about coping with pressure, finding your way and learning.

Lachlan Morton seems to have been around for some time but he’s just 21 years old. A member of the Slipstream, aka Garmin, development team for years, he turned pro in 2013. A pure climber he was off the radar in the Tour de Romandie and Tour de Suisse this year but came good in the second half of the season with success in the Tour of Utah and the USA Pro Challenge.

Bryan Coquard was second to Hansen in the Olympics but got the jump on him as a pro. Now heading for his second year as a pro, he had an impressive début with an exceptional sprinting speed, all in a 60kg package too.

Is Jasper Stuyven the replacement for Tom Boonen? I thought about including Tommeke on the list of riders to watch for 2014 to see if he’ll be back but instead here’s Stuyven who’s joined Trek Factor Racing. He had a solid 2013 with a stack of top-10 finishes on a variety of terrain, including fifth in Stage 1 in the Tour of California. He’ll join Bob Jungels who can pass on some tips about being a neo. The Luxembourger won his national championships this year but had a series of solid results elsewhere, he can sprint fast and is excellent against the watch so will he emerge as a Cancellara-type of classics rider or become more an all-rounder for stage races.

If you’ve been following the sport for long enough you’ll remember Erik Zabel standing the Champs Elysées year after year to collect the Tour’s green jersey with his young son Rick Zabel. Zabel junior has grown up fast and will be a pro with BMC Racing in 2014. It seems early given he’s just turned 20. If you wonder if Andy Rihs’s Swiss Francs have been deployed once again to hoover up a big name, think twice because at the age of 18 he won the German U-23 national championships and this year he took the U-23 Tour of Flanders. Having a famous dad can open doors but it means inevitable comparisons and extra media attention.

If the Zabel story is about inheritance, here’s one of identical DNA. It feels hard to chose between Simon Yates and his twin brother Adam but Simon’s had the better results of late. Points race world champion, he took two stages of the Tour de l’Avenir and then beat the pros to take the Tour of Britain’s “mountain” stage. It’s interesting to see the brothers join Orica-Greenedge but logical, pro teams might have national roots but this does not mean it is the best environment for every compatriot. As others of have said Alex Dowsett would not have won the time trial stage of the Giro if he was on Team Sky because he probably would not have been selected for the race. Orica-Greenedge has seen several Aussies slip their grasp but it’ll be interesting to see how Simon Yates fares on a team already packed with fast-finishers like Michael Matthews, Daryl Impey and Simon Gerrans.

Long list
Finally lists are often as much about the names you exclude. Beyond any riders included the peloton’s a big place packed with interesting stories. I didn’t include Chris Froome because he’s bound to aim for a similar linear trajectory towards the Tour de France although a repeat is not a certainty; Richie Porte won’t be there to help as he bids for the Giro. MTN-Qhubeka have two returning riders in Linus Gerdemann and J-L Augustyn and their comebacks will be worth following. Diego Ulissi finished the 2013 season with a string of wins to finally confirm the promise, can he pick up where he left off? Meanwhile Tom Boonen seems to alternate between good and bad years, will 2014 prove successful again? Matej Mohorič stays in the U-23 ranks for a few months and he’s perhaps too young to expect much in the pro ranks but his win in the junior worlds in 2012 and then U-23 in 2013 suggests something very special and Caleb Ewan gets the same treatment, he’s signed a contract with Orica-Greenedge but will only move up at the end of the season.

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{ 56 comments }

Cilmeri December 17, 2013 at 1:28 pm

Tony Martin – Has he ever hinted to wanting to do anything other than be a TT specialist?

Adam December 17, 2013 at 1:57 pm

Yes, he tried to win Suisse several years ago. It was slightly sad to see dreams evaporate on the road as he slowly got dropped with all of HTC staying by his side. Since that day he’s packed on the pounds and quit trying to climb.

Paddy Scullion December 17, 2013 at 7:43 pm

Tour de france 2009 stage 20, anyone? 2nd on the Ventoux stage, but he was an awful lot skinnier then.

Heitor December 18, 2013 at 10:04 am

He won Paris-Nice once.

Bisiklet Sporu December 18, 2013 at 3:47 pm

Not many people realize but actually Tony Martin is one of the few stage race winning machines amongst the current peloton. He has got 8 stage race GC victories to his name; surpassing the likes of Valverde, Rodriguez, Froome, Evans.

Paul I. December 18, 2013 at 11:32 pm

Yes, one week stage races with a long enough ITT that it is critical.

ChrisHorner December 17, 2013 at 1:53 pm

Sad to see my name is not on the list …

belivelo December 18, 2013 at 12:24 am

Get on a a team and we will add you!

T.Lyle Ferderber December 18, 2013 at 12:49 am

Is there anything fans can do to help the contract situation?

Lance December 18, 2013 at 3:23 am

I thought you were dead.

Jacob December 17, 2013 at 2:07 pm

I think you’ve missed out Davide Villela. He already had some good results as a stagiare for cannondale, and was easily the best climber/GC rider in the Italian amateur ranks this year

mmre December 17, 2013 at 2:31 pm

Hey Chris, don’t worry, I have a film loop of you lapping the field THREE TIMES at a crit in Milwaukee in the 90′s. Twice by yourself. I’ll be pulling that up ever time I need to think of a fun afternoon drinking beer and yelling loud.

Coldugalibier December 17, 2013 at 2:40 pm

Et, Warren Barguil?? Surely an exciting and interesting prospect for 2014, non??

ave December 17, 2013 at 10:31 pm

He was picked for “watch in 2013″.
You can pick the same riders every year, but that’s boring. ;)

haps December 17, 2013 at 3:10 pm

altough i don’t know whether they are neos look forward to follow garmin lads; Dennis Rohan & Lasse Norman…

Rohan Dennis December 18, 2013 at 6:59 am

haps… perhaps it was a mishaps, but get my name right, alright?

Anonymous December 18, 2013 at 11:43 pm

Ou snap you bin pro pawned son, BOOM!

Michael December 19, 2013 at 2:47 am

Mate, you were flying up Greenhill Road this morning. You left me for dead.

You’re taking the TdU seriously aren’t you?!

Emily December 17, 2013 at 3:21 pm

Tony Martin was a great climber a few years ago and if he conditioned/trained for it could be a great GC rider. Remember when he almost won Ventoux in 2009? He should find that side of himself again.

Simon December 17, 2013 at 3:37 pm

He did win Paris-Nice in 2011 as well, altough it wasn’t particularly mountainous.

Vitus December 18, 2013 at 1:26 am

I read that tiresome discussion for 5-6 years now in German forums and I’m astonished that it all now starts here again .
Nothing happened since then, Tony is still just a TT specialist. And that won’t change in 2014.

The Inner Ring December 23, 2013 at 2:15 pm

I think a difference now is what more can he win? Once you have a wardrobe full of rainbow jerseys it’s great to carry on as a specialist but can you use that ability across other areas too? A question of ambition if you like, or just a means to avoid boredom and staleness with a new challenge.

Mathias December 17, 2013 at 4:32 pm

Lachlan Morton???I could name 20 young better gc prospect than him..

Adam December 17, 2013 at 5:08 pm

But would they wear vintage neon Brikos?
In all seriousness, he was pretty impressive in the second half of 2013.

ave December 17, 2013 at 10:27 pm

I’m sure you could. But then maybe you’ll be wrong, and inrng will be right. So, I say let’s see.

Bag Pus December 17, 2013 at 11:57 pm

Man has Chicks dig (heart shape) me on his saddle, what’s not to like ?

The Inner Ring December 23, 2013 at 2:16 pm

Perhaps not a GC prospect, more a mountain climber.

scomac December 17, 2013 at 9:14 pm

OPQS is quite content to have Martin remain in his current role as an ITT/TTT specialist and diesel for their sprint train. He will generate the most wins for the team that way rather than trying to re-invent himself and pursue other objectives. If he wants to become a competitive GC rider, then he will have to do it with another squad and I don’t realistically see that happening at this stage of his career.

LM December 17, 2013 at 9:58 pm

I’m in agreement. With some very hard work and specific training I believe he could be a Tour podium contender, and maybe even winner. But, he’s got a great job right now. And, could he make any more money attempting to be a GC man?

Goonie December 17, 2013 at 10:31 pm

In the longer term, if he gets sick of winning ITTs surely he could aim for the spring classics. Boonen and Cancellara, fabulous as they are, are closer to the end of their career than the beginning.

Andy Logan December 17, 2013 at 9:36 pm

Also who can forgot Martin’s almost stage win in the Vuelta this year. He may not win many stages but that is as close as you will ever get without winning one.

Norton has been im Sydney training, he has been racing some MTB races as well as some local crits. He looks to be going pretty well atm.

Jan December 17, 2013 at 11:43 pm

I’m looking forward to Rui Costa’s riding this year, and hoping he has an inspired year.

Michael December 18, 2013 at 12:42 am

I would love to see Martin have a serious crack at Roubaix with a fit Boonen, Cancellara and Stybar. What a race!

Even though he is young amd lightly raced Caleb Ewan will be the next big thing in sprints. Think of a blend of Zabel (senior), McKewen and Cav and you have your man. The kid is seriously quick amd routinely beats seasoned pros already. He’s set for some big things in the future.

Michael December 18, 2013 at 3:03 am

There are a few riders I will watch with keen interest in 2014. Some mentioned in this article. Also keenly watching the following :

Zdeněk Štybar
Sep Vanmarcke

Last chance saloon for Matt Goss

Heinrich Haussler [similar reason to Goss]

Dan December 18, 2013 at 3:26 am

Haussler packed up his shit and went home after that breakaway stage win at the TDF a few years back. I have had hope for him every year since but to no avail.

IAM January 13, 2014 at 1:46 am

DAN C’est quoi ces façons de traiter heinrich de la sorte moi j’ai toujours cru en lui et je n’ai jamais cesser de le faire c’est vrai que ceux qui le traitent ainsi se pensent mieux

FAQinc December 18, 2013 at 11:52 pm

Stybar is definitely worth a watch.

I think Haussler is still looping a video of the finish line in San Remo.

Goss is probably the same but with the finish at the World Champs.

I think if they see a sports psychiatrist might be the biggest boost to their form.
Let’s hope Sep can move on from Roubaix and not join the what would have bin club above.

Whiff December 18, 2013 at 11:28 am

No mention so far of Marcel Kittel – am looking forward to seeing how he does after his big breakthrough last season.

todd howman December 18, 2013 at 2:12 pm

I just finished listening to Taylor Phinney on Mike Creed’s podcast. Great kid, I hope he has a breakout year in 2014!

Steve December 19, 2013 at 1:49 am

Perhaps, but WTF is up with that kid’s hair?

vimes December 18, 2013 at 4:21 pm

> Matej Mohorič stays in the U-23 ranks for a few months.

Do you have a bit more info on that?

The Inner Ring December 23, 2013 at 2:18 pm

No, I just read he’d join the team later in the year. But maybe this info’s old and he’s now onboard full-time with Cannondale for the early season.

david December 18, 2013 at 5:44 pm

I’m curious to see how Caleb ewan pans out.

vimes December 18, 2013 at 5:50 pm

I think there is hardly any doubt that Ewan will be huge.

Mohoric will ride Paris-Nice by the way.

The Inner Ring December 23, 2013 at 2:19 pm

Agreed. We’ll see him at the Tour Down Under but – maybe old info? – he’s going to race most of the year as an amateur until moving up at the end of the year.

Bundle December 18, 2013 at 7:12 pm

I think Tony Martin is a bit conservative-minded, you know, your Thuringian cop, focused on doing his job well, and taking his girlfriend/wife out for cake and coffee on a Saturday. But he’s an amazing rider. We should all egg him on to go for the Hour and the Classics. His epic solo ride towards Cáceres in the las y Vuelta shows he’s got a bit of madness in him, that he should exploit further.

Michael December 19, 2013 at 2:53 am

BTW – that is a great photo of Wiggins descending. It appears as if he is going slower than Rui [photo above], and he’s going up hill. And Sir Bradley isn’t even touching the brakes.

I think that one shot of Brad is how I will remember his 2013.

Al-Bo December 19, 2013 at 2:46 pm

Why does Hansen only get a surname?

Michael December 20, 2013 at 4:12 am

Maybe he’s referring to the band and not the rider??

Michael December 20, 2013 at 4:17 am

So, I forgot mention, it is a little confusing: I think he’s referring to Lasse and Norman and not Adam.

eggorama December 25, 2013 at 12:57 am

Watch out for Alexander Kristoff in the classics next year.’

The Inner Ring December 31, 2013 at 8:55 am

Agreed. A strong rider and a fast finisher too, he’s been progressing well each year and should offer Katusha the success they need in the classics.

The SkullKrusher December 31, 2013 at 8:54 am

Esteban Chavez: if Orica were to give him the right support, he’d do great, great things. Unfortunately, they won’t.

The Inner Ring December 31, 2013 at 8:57 am

We’ll see… they’re so light on climbers that he should have some room to perform in stage races and the hillier one day races in Italy. But it’s an odd signing culturally, I hope he fits in.

Jason January 3, 2014 at 2:37 am

isn’t that pic of tony martin a bit of a faux pas–wearing the rainbow jersey on a road bike?

The Inner Ring January 3, 2014 at 9:52 am

It’s the Alpine time trial of the Tour de France so it’s ok. And he is the real world champ ;-)

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