Riders To Watch for 2012 – What Happened?

Wednesday, 21 November 2012

Amstel Gold Race Jelle Vanendert

Last year I nominated a dozen riders to watch in 2012, from promising neo-pros to Chris Froome and Thomas Voeckler to see how these two would fare after their Vuelta and Tour de France performances in 2011. It’s been a mixed year and now it’s time to check in on their performances this year.

Jelle Vanendert has had a decent but quiet season with Lotto-Belisol. In 2011 he won a stage of the Tour de France and held the mountains jersey and was an invaluable helper for Philippe Gilbert. But this year he’s placed well, for example second in the Amstel Gold Race (pictured) but there have been no wins and come the Tour de France he was on team duty to support Jurgen Van den Broeck. In short he’s had some placings but didn’t become the star climber that 2011 suggested.

Chris Froome obviously did very well. Second in the Tour de France, an Olympic medal and more, including the public beginning to discover who he is. French TV call him le Kenyan blanc or the “white Kenyan” (they didn’t label David Rudisha le kenyan noir during the Olympics) but the TV did discover late in the race that he spoke French and this was well-appreciated. 2013 awaits.

Rein Taaramäe still feels like a work in progress. He’s staying with Cofidis and the French team won’t be too happy with his 2012 season. He was the leader but his only win came in the Estonian national championships. It wasn’t for trying, if anything he tried too hard for example ending up in a hypoglycaemic haze in the Paris-Nice stage from Sisteron to Nice as breakaway companion Thomas de Gendt rode away from him. 2013 might be his last chance to head the team, to decide between winning for himself or putting his power to work in the service of someone else. Injury and bad health took its toll too.

I asked aloud of Dan Martin was a stage racer or a one day rider. You can be both but it’s still hard to know where Martin’s talents lie as he’s versatile but also you feel he could win more. No wins in 2012 but fourth fifth place in Liège-Bastogne-Liège shows what he’s got.

After his 2011 Tour de France French hopes were pinned on Pierre Rolland. But the back seems to be his problem, he’s not aero on the bike and suffers in the time trials, losing enough time to mean he’ll struggle to win his home race. But the French love émotion in a race and he delivers it, winning the biggest mountain stage of the 2012 Tour to follow up his Alpe d’Huez win. He’s done very well to perform in the Tour but had a quiet season outside of July, although was strong in the early season Etoile de Bessèges, overcoming rivals and the icy conditions to hold the race lead. He’ll enjoy the 2013 Tour route.

Thomas Voeckler

I picked Thomas Voeckler because I wondered if everything would change. After fourth place in the 2011 Tour de France perhaps his modus operandi of breakaways would end. It was hard to imagine him becoming a calculating stage racer but easy to envisage the bunch refusing to let him go up the road again, knowing he could climb with the best. In fact he resumed the Voeckler we all knew in part thanks to a knee injury which hampered his approach to the Tour de France but he started and collected two stages and the mountains jersey. He had a good spring too where there was less show but he won the Brabantse Pijl and finished eighth in the Tour of Flanders, fifth in the Amstel and fourth in Liège-Bastogne-Liège.

Neo-pros
Now onto to the promising neo-pros. Remember the label applies to riders in their first two years. First up is Bart De Clercq. You might ask “who?” but the Belgian impressed me in the Giro on Stage 7 and the uphill finish to Montevergine di Mercogliano where he won the stage after holding off the bunch on the climb, an effort that took molto watts. 2012 was less impressive for panache but actually very good for improvements. He rode the Giro and Vuelta this year, finishing 17th overall in the Spanish Tour thanks to consistent finishing and he was 14th in the Tour de Suisse. These results don’t set the world on fire but they’re solid for a second year pro.

Diego Ulissi took a few wins in 2012 but in Italian races and the label of “the new Paolo Bettini” seems more to do with coming from the same town, Cecina Mare, as the former World Champion. A good 2012 but he’s not breaking through. Yet.

Andrea Guardini started 2012 with a contract extension with Farnese Vini until the end of 2013 but he’s off to Astana. What happened? Well he kept winning and even blasted past Mark Cavendish to win a stage of the Giro. But this was his only big win of the year, his team wasn’t invited to some races but he was winning in Langkawi and around Qinghai Lake.

Nikita Novikov was very strong as an amateur, so much so that Vacansoleil decided to hire the Russian instead of him staying on the Katusha conveyor belt. But 2012 didn’t meet the hype, his best result was 46th place in the Tour de Picardie.

Everything went to plan for Luke Durbridge in 2012. A first year pro he collected several wins and even scalped Wiggins in the prologue of the Dauphiné. “Durbo The Turbo” also won stage races outright thanks to his time trial skills, winning the Circuit de la Sarthe and the Tour du Poitou Charentes. Impressive.

Kenny Elissonde is a pure climber with FDJ. He might have seemed an outside pick but as a stagiaire in 2011 he rode the Vuelta a Burgos and was hanging with the front group in the mountains and aged 19, won the best young rider prize. 2012 was mixed, he didn’t get to ride some of the races he wanted but finished a good fourth overall in the Route du Sud stage race and won a stage of Paris-Corrèze. He’s still one to watch, not just for his climbing skills but he’s got a tactical sense, the kind of person you don’t want to play poker against.

tv_vt November 21, 2012 at 4:28 pm

Nice follow-up piece. But am wondering how Voeckler and Dan Martin could both finish 4th at L-B-L…

Hope you do these ‘before/after’ pieces on riders every year. Lots of sites write about riders to watch in the coming year, but few actually go back at the end and see how well they did.

The Inner Ring November 21, 2012 at 8:06 pm

Fixed Martin’s result, he was fifth. Now got to pick some riders for 2013 and I’ll be happy to review their progress in a year’s time.

Vera November 22, 2012 at 8:25 am

Looking forward to your Riders to Watch for 2013 post. I’m hoping for good things from Taylor Phinney, Tejay van Garderen, and Joe Dombrowski . Peter Sagan is going to be very interesting too…

Nick November 21, 2012 at 9:45 pm

Agreed. A great follow up piece. Can’t wait for your 2013 “Riders to Watch” list.

gary November 21, 2012 at 5:23 pm

It’s unlikely you’d call Voekler’s riding style elegant or his tactics carefully measured. You can’t argue with the end result no matter how awkward it might have been to get there.

The Inner Ring November 21, 2012 at 8:00 pm

It doesn’t look smooth but it.works. It reminds me of a Western because the riders know they will robbed, they try to stop it but often watch Butch Cassidy ride off with the stage win.

Ankush November 21, 2012 at 6:32 pm

Nikita Novikov is a curious case. He was not able to complete races in first half of the year and just made up numbers in other races. I was expecting big things from him in 2012 but it didn’t work out. I hope he rectify the problems for next season.

Hector Urrego November 21, 2012 at 7:12 pm

WATCH OUT the Colombian YOUNG army it’s coming !!! in different Teams !

The Inner Ring November 21, 2012 at 8:08 pm

But who to chose? Many good riders there.

Paul November 21, 2012 at 9:17 pm

Sergio Henao had a wonderful season for Sky, but Quintana and Betancur look very promising indeed.

The Inner Ring November 21, 2012 at 10:42 pm

Exactly my thoughts too with Jarlinson Pantano and Darwin Atapuma

jack November 22, 2012 at 12:14 am

Romain Sicard from Euskaltel had a hard year but look out for him in the near future. He is not happy with Euskaltel’s move away from 100% Basque riders so you may see him in a French team before long. He is good, real good.

Tricky Dicky November 22, 2012 at 2:33 am

Fascinated to see how some of the “team transfers” work out: can JTL cut it in the top tier? How good will Dombrowski and Boswell prove to be at SKY? How will Rory Sutherland fare back in Europe? Will Roche go forwards, backwards or sideways now? (Especially on a “lesser” team – bet he didn’t see that coming.)

As someone who lives in Oz, I’m also very keen to watch the development of the young Aussies – Rohan Dennis, Nathan Haas (an Ardennes podium inside 3 years perhaps?) and Steele von Hoff in particular. And what can Bobridge do in a new environment? I’m really hoping he does not become one of the wasted talents of his generation.

And I hope Thibaut Pinot proves to be the “real deal” (INRNG, I think you blogged that there was a back story around Madiot’s antics in the car at last year’s TdF which you might share with us?)

Roll on next year!

The Inner Ring November 22, 2012 at 6:24 am

The Pinot-Madiot backstory’s been written and will appear on here soon.

Vera November 22, 2012 at 8:21 am

Dombrowski is one of my 2013 Ones to Watch.

Sally November 22, 2012 at 2:23 pm

Totally with you, very excited about Joe Dombrowski

TM November 22, 2012 at 3:20 am

i’d really like to see T. Pinot do well in 2013 – his heart is really in the sport -, and of course Quintana will be one to watch. i’m also very interested in seeing how Sagan will ride after such an amped year. i wonder if he’ll be able to contend with a well-supported Cavendish in next year’s TdF…interesting to note that Sagan might be better supported too now that Nibali has left the squad?

mike November 22, 2012 at 9:23 am

I’m looking forward to see what bjarne can do with his long list of new riders with plenty of potential, flashes of brilliance but a lack of consistent results. Thinking kreuziger, Roche, bennati, zaugg, petrov and to a lesser extent breschel. Love to see him do what he did with Nick Nuyens in 2011 Flanders. I doubt they will have trouble getting invites to any race they want.

Patrick November 22, 2012 at 9:51 am

I know he’s not a neo-pro but next year is the first year for a while that Geraint Thomas will be targeting the road, will be good to see how he does at Flanders especially as he wouldn’t be in service to Flecha.

I’ll also be keen to find out how Adrien Niyonshuti fares;

http://www.velonation.com/News/ID/13134/Adrien-Niyonshuti-to-become-first-Rwandan-pro-in-Europe.aspx

Ablindeye November 22, 2012 at 10:20 am

Enjoyed the revisit of all those picks, thanks. I’m interested to see how Henao develops in 2013. It’s a balancing act at Sky between a team packed with talent and enough opportunities to satisfy all those ambitions but hopefully he’ll get some chances to show what he can do.

Adam W November 22, 2012 at 10:38 am

I have to echo the comments on the Colombian riders, they’re an absolute joy to watch. I’m thinking it could be a good year for Andrew Talansky too. From a British perspective, I hope Sky unleash Ian Stannard at one of the Classics and give him the support he needs. He is a monster built for those type of races.

Sally November 22, 2012 at 2:25 pm

I think they will. He’s hauled the peloton from pillar to post this season, and I reckon he’s going to be a supported rider for at least one or two of the cobbleds next season

Paul November 22, 2012 at 5:15 pm

Agree about Talansky. I think he has at least as much upside potential as TVG, perhaps more.

rhys November 25, 2012 at 12:05 pm

As much as I dislike Sky (and thats a lot) I agree about Stannard. He deserves a chance.

Paolo November 26, 2012 at 11:52 am

Degenkolb and Kittel should be in a list like this one. Dege for the Classics and Kittel for the GT Sprints.

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