Team Victory Rankings

Having spent the past season staring at a spreadsheet once a week for the weekly promotion-relegation updates, the occasional team victory rankings were overlooked. So about time to catch-up on the teams and how they fared this year when it comes to throwing their hands up in the air, starting with the World Tour teams.

Jumbo-Visma (48 wins) top the table, just. You can argue over what counts as a win, the simple version is when a rider wins riding for the team. So Tobias Foss’s Wollongong worlds win doesn’t count because he was in a Norway skinsuit but when development team rider Archie Ryan joins the World Tour squad and wins it does count. The Dutch team are joint with UAE, but go ahead in the tie breaker when you count second and third places. Obviously quality matters more than quantity but it’s this that’s striking with Jumbo-Visma, they top the table and win the Tour de France. Paris-Nice set the scene with the 1-2-3 on the opening day and then Wout van Aert won the TT stage before towing Roglič to the overall win. Not long ago Sky had a “risk management” attitude to racing that saw them all in for their grand tour leaders, here Jumbo-Visma show it’s possible to win stages and the GC. Extending their grip over the race could be more boring, it’s widening the monopoly, but because it involves some risk too it is, for now, interesting to see.

  • Hit: the Tour de France where they dismantled the UAE team and had energy to spare with riders winning stages for themselves
  • Miss: a rough start to the Giro but Bouwman won two stages and the mountains journey too. But forced to pick, well they didn’t win a monument this year

UAE Emirates (48 wins) are joint first. With Tadej Pogačar on 16 wins he’s got one third of their wins and has enormous range. Sure he was beaten in the Tour de France but that was a rare mistake. There’s no need to build the whole team around Tadej Pogačar but they consistently lack the support riders needed to help grand tour leaders

  • Hit: Pogačar’s Ronde ride did live up to the hype, but his Lombardia win because it was a collective effort the team, each rider playing their part
  • Miss: they could have won even more had their house sprinters fared better, Pascal Ackermann and Fernando Gaviria got four wins together

Quick-Step (47) are finally dethroned, just. In 2011 they tied with Team Sky for the most wins and since they’ve topped the tables every year, sometimes by a long way. It’s tempting to see this as a move to becoming a GC team with riders lining up in service of Evenepoel but his Vuelta win is clouding the mind, it’s too soon for this. If, would, coulda and all that, but they’d probably top the table if Alaphilippe hadn’t had that horror crash in Liège or they’d got more out of the cobbled classics. Normally sprinters top the rankings but Evenepoel pips Fabio Jakobsen this year. As ever they win a lot, and a lot of them win with 12 different riders getting a victory this year

  • Hit: Evenepoel and Jakobsen get 28 wins between them, as a pair they won more than entire squads
  • Miss: the spring classics campaign… until Evenepoel won Liège of course

Ineos (39) have a season without a grand tour win for the first time since 2014 but made up for it with a prolific victory streak throughout the season. But the team still feels like a trophy team for its billionaire owner and no matter how exciting some of the young riders coming through are, the Tour de France is still the big goal. Pidcock’s stage win via that Galibier-Télégraphe descent was exciting but it’ll take time to build towards more GC victories.

  • Hit: with plenty of wins it’s hard to pick a highlight but Paris-Roubaix comes to mind
  • Miss: measured against their own record or budget, no GC title

Bora-hansgrohe (30) had a wunderbar season. They’re right up among the big teams now thanks to Jai Hindley taking the Giro and they have a solid feeder team to help ensure a pipeline of talent. They’re a complete team that can win on a range of terrains but in trying to do everything they’re not bossing any particular niche. Despite classics contenders and sprinters the majority of their wins came from hilly stage races on sunny days.

  • Hit: the Giro, Hindley helped by a strong team performance
  • Miss: their spring classics season

Lotto-Soudal (25) scored well in the victory rankings so why are they relegated? Largely because they had a bad 2020 and 2021 seasons. They scored almost as many points in 2022 as the previous two years combined. But in quantitative terms, only two world tour wins among this. Also they got a lot of wins relative to second and third places, it’s great to win but some more placings as well would have helped. Arnaud De Lie stampeded to over a third of their wins.

  • Hit: Arnaud De Lie was impressive all year, Thomas De Gendt took a great Giro win but Philippe Gilbert taking the 4 Days of Dunkerque overall was a good swansong
  • Miss: Caleb Ewan had a bet with an Ineos rider he’d win 20 races this year and if he did, the Ineos rider had to run naked up the Col d’Eze. Ewan had a good start but after his crash in the Giro he’d crash again in the Tour and only won once more in September. The Col d’Eze residents are safe.

Intermarché-Wanty-Gobert (24) have had a great season. A squad with a low budget, they’ve often acted like a team of misfits and outcasts, scrapping for wins here and there, think Gerben Thijssen smoking Kooij, Démare, Viviani and Ackermann to win a bunch sprint in the Tour de Pologne. But as well as 24 wins, they’ve also taken some 24 carat victories, see Biniam Girmay winning Gent-Wevelgem, the Scheldeprijs for Alexander Kristoff and a Giro stage with Girmay again.

  • Hit: Biniam Girmay’s win in Wevelgem was impressive, his Giro stage ice cool but collectively the whole team punched above their weight throughout the season
  • Miss: measured against relatively low expectations it’s hard to think where something went wrong, or bad luck got in their way

BikeExchange-Jayco (22) signed Dylan Groenewegen suited everyone, him, his old Jumbo team and above all BikeExchange who landed a rider capable of delivering big wins. They had a great season in terms of wins and results but got sucked into the relegation battle which made them look on the receiving end of events rather than in charge.

  • Hit: Groenewegen’s Tour de France stage win was big, Simon Yates’s Giro stage win was a thriller but Michael Matthew’s Tour stage win was a masterpiece
  • Miss: Simon Yates’ GC bids came undone through bad luck but this had the ripple effect of missed UCI points which got the team into an autumnal panic as they scrambled for points

Bahrain-Victorious (21) were, yes, rather victorious at times. Matej Mohorič’s Sanremo triumph is the standout moment for them. Mikel Landa was solid at the Giro but seemed destined not to win while Jack Haig and Gino Mäder were on the wrong end of illness and injury and are probably in the gym as you read this making plans for 2023.

  • Hit: Mohorič winning in Sanremo
  • Miss: the pre-Tour hotel raids in Denmark? Although we still don’t know if Interpol were put up to this following a twitter beef (yes, seriously). But rather than point to a single disaster, this team seems to be drifting

Groupama-FDJ (20) got a slew of wins from Arnaud Démare, their house sprinter scored all of their World Tour wins except for Thibaut Pinot who took a stage of the Tour de Suisse. This was a season defined by other achievements than winning. David Gaudu’s fourth place in the Tour de France, third place for Valentin Madouas in the Ronde, third place for Stefan Küng in Roubaix. For Pinot it’s a glass half-full season, coming back from chronic injury to win in the Tour des Alpes was impressive; yet he was berating himself after several near-misses in the Tour.

  • Hit: David Gaudu ground out a fourth place in the Tour de France. His problem is going to be improving on that but each year he delivers
  • Miss: structurally they’re still very reliant on a handful of leaders

Trek-Segafredo (19) lead a trio of teams on 19 wins but had 25 second places this season. Mads Pedersen took nine of their wins, this year they’re team most dependent on one rider for their wins, the Dane took 47% of their wins compared to De Lie scoring 36% of Lotto-Soudal’s wins. If Mattias Skjelmose can keep up his progress then he should help share the load next season, the Dane can climb and time trial. Stages in the Giro, Tour and Vuelta all go down a treat.

  • Hit: Mads Pedersen showed versatility in the season
  • Miss: the cobbled classics, they’re capable of more

Cofidis (19) started the season in the relegation zone so keeping their World Tour status is a win of sorts. Jesus Herrada and Ion Izaguirre got World Tour wins. Top winner was Benjamin Thomas, the track rider was a handy signing. As ever they’re still chasing that elusive Tour de France stage win but their best riders are infrequent winners.

  • Hit: good at collecting points all over the place even if they don’t get many big wins
  • Miss: good at collecting points all over the place even if they don’t get many big wins

Movistar (19) got dragged into the relegation battle but 19 results is alright and if it’s higher than you think, this could be the relegation talk effect or the lack of a big high profile victory. Enric Mas did plenty in the Vuelta to save their season but Alex Aranburu took a crafty win in the Tour du Limousin and Gonzalez Serrano won the abbreviated Tour of Britain. While we’re looking at the men’s World Tour here, you can make a good case that Annemiek van Vleuten outshone the entire men’s team.

  • Hit: Enric Mas in September and October, he was strong and consistent in the Vuelta to help save his team from relegation and then kept racing with style into Lombardia
  • Miss: just one World Tour win, when Carlos Verona kept Roglič at bay in the Dauphiné, only Astana fared worse

Israel-PremierTech (15) spent the season battling relegation. They’d had a poor 2020 season but 2022 doomed them, only Astana fared worse for scoring points. The team can find comfort in the quality of their results, notably two Tour de France stage wins for Simon Clarke and Hugo Houle while Patrick Bevin and Michael Woods were jointly the most prolific with three wins each

  • Hit: two stage wins at the Tour de France
  • Miss: letting Hugo Hofstetter move to Arkéa-Samsic was arguably the swing factor that saw Israel relegated and the French team promoted

Ag2r Citroën (11) often didn’t win much over the years because they don’t have a house sprinter, they were regularly the last team to win a race each year. Hiring Marc Sarreau helped bring four wins – four more than he got last year for them – but they didn’t add much more on top. The team’s budget has jumped but the results haven’t. It’ll be interesting to see where they go in the transfer market next. By the way Julian Alaphilippe’s contract is up soon.

  • Hit: Benoît Cosnefroy’s turning into a potent puncheur while Bob Jungel’s Tour de France saved July for them after Ben O’Connor’s Roubaix nightmare
  • Miss: similar to Trek-Segafredo and Bora-hansgrohe, they have a strong cobbled classics department and ought to have done better

Team DSM (10) are lucky not to be relegated. They had a great 2020 season which saves them from that but 2022 looked a lot like 2021 in terms of results. It could all have been different had Romain Bardet stayed in the Giro but alas, although he recovered, reset and rode to a steady sixth overall in the Tour. Rider retention’s an ongoing concern, Thymen Arensman showed what he can do with a time trial win in Poland and a mountain stage win in the Vuelta but he’s joined Ineos; the team don’t have a budget to retain riders.

  • Hit: Andreas Leknessund’s Arctic Race of Norway win was an impressive solo win
  • Miss: Bardet’s Giro exit and what could have been

EF Education-Easypost (9) didn’t win much but look at the roster and they have some exciting riders but not prolific winners. As much as they try to find ways for publicity away from wins and results whether via gravel or other means, they still need points to stay in the World Tour and ride the Tour de France. The one rider who can score on varied terrain is Magnus Cort and he only got two wins in the season but was the only rider to get more than one win and one of these was a Tour de France stage.

  • Hit: the Tour de France with Magnus Cort’s parade in front of the Danish fans followed by his stage win in the Alps
  • Miss: a lot more second and third places than wins

Astana (5) started the season with a rap video and it might be the most memorable thing of their season although we should note Nibali going out with a fourth place in the Giro. Five wins and two of these were in the Kazakh national championships make a stingy season. Things looked up, they’d signed Gianni Moscon and Miguel Angel Lopez as leaders but Moscon struggled with illness and what sounds like post-viral recovery while Lopez never got going.

  • Hit: Vincenzo Nibali’s fourth place farewell in the Giro, Samuele Battistella is doing well
  • Miss: a season to forget

Finally two more charts. The one above shows the percentage of wins taken by a team’s most prolific rider, a measure of how dependent they were on one rider for success. We can see high rates for Trek-Segafredo and Lotto-Soudal where Mads Pedersen and Arnaud De Lie were responsible for the majority of their wins. Obviously this is dependency after the event, a team may be set up in the service of a great leader only for them to miss the season through injury and the stats wouldn’t show that; plus the rate is more meaningful among those teams with more wins, for example Tadej Pogačar is central to UAE’s success; but see how Intermarché can have stars like Kristoff and Girmay but plenty of others win too.

This chart shows the distribution of podium places via gold silver and bronze bars. Note the skew among the victorious teams for wins rather than podium places and vice versa. Now you’d expect a team that wins a lot to have a lot of the gold but you’d also expect them to place a lot more than the other teams, it’s true but the alchemic bias towards gold is interesting.

55 thoughts on “Team Victory Rankings”

  1. I know that I am alone in this but in my mind the wins ranking is what counts … especially if it looks at .1+ races.
    Could be interesting to segment one day races versus stage races but might make the story a bit long.
    BEX seem to have beefed up their team a bit so might be able to be more competitive in the big one day races next year.

    • The wins count for plenty… but the rankings are supposed to show quality, eg the balance of a Tour de France podium vs say ten wins in France, normally the Tour podium generates way more publicity.

      Be interesting to see if Matthews can get in a groove. Groenewegen can win more. Sobrero’s got plenty of promise for BEX.

  2. Interesting that IPT had as many wins as they did. Given their lack of points this year you’d have thought they’d have less wins. Shows importance of GC maybe. Fugs and Froome really let them down there.

    • They got some good wins but it’s the lack of all the other placings that cost them. All teams have iceberg style results, the wins on top are visible but there’s a lot of other 2nd-20th places “under the water” that might not be seen as much, here Israel struggled with this part.

      We’ll look at the ProTeam ranks soon as there’s such a contrast in this. Israel get demoted but if they’re patient and clever they can thrive in this tier. With two stage wins last summer they’ve got a decent chance of a call for a wildcard in July. Presumably Sylvan Adams has already called Paris to say “I didn’t mean it when I said I’d set up a rival Tour”… although ASO surely knew this.

    • It also depends on where you win (WT vs. .2 is a huge difference in points), and (as The Inner Ring already said) all the places behind the winner that count.

  3. IR makes the point that Groupama-FDJ depend on a small number of key riders (Démare, Kung, Gaudu & Pinot). Most of the above are logically past, at or approaching their peak while all the new recruits (eight from the Conti) will probably take a few years to start winning. I may be wrong but Grégoire and Martinez (19), and Pithie, Paleni, Germani and Penhoët (20) don’t really appear 2023 winners. Let’s see.

    • Their leaders have some life left in them yet. The new signings are very promising but as ever it’s the cream of the U23 crop who turn pro, they’re all good and progressing to the next thing is a big step up.

  4. Surprised that no-one so far has asked who was the Ineos rider Caleb Ewan had a bet with? That’s what I’m most curious about after reading this blog!

    • We would’ve, could’ve, should’ve found out! I have to say, though, I was equally intrigued that Ewan rates himself so highly. I’m not sure where, exactly, he thought those 20 wins were going to come from.

      • I honestly beleive if he gets his sprint right he will beat anyone. But the guy just misses out far too much. So many days he should be challenging for the win and he’s down in tenth. I feel there are other guys not getting as many wins but far more higher finishes. A few years ago he was going to early and missed a lot. Now he waits but i think cannot judge it right and misses out.

        • This year Ewan developed a habit of sitting up if he didn’t think he could win.

          Those 10th places could often have been points paying 2nd or 3rd places.

  5. Maybe while AG2R are waiting for Alaphillippe they could pick up Cavendish — I hear he’s looking for a ride. If they have the funding I’m sure he’s got a few wins left in the tank.

    A lot seems to made of UAE giving Pogacar better support in the Tour, and compared to JV carefully providing close escort to Vingegaard in the rough and cobbled stages the difference was quite noticeable. But it seems to me Pogacar’s Achilles heel is great heat — in temperate weather he’s at least as good a climber as Vingegaard (maybe better in the cold) and better than Quintana, Bardet, and Yates (excellent climbers though they be), and it’s not at all clear how much a more supportive team could have helped on the Granon this year.

    • UAE/Pogacar’s problems on stage 11 began on stage 10, when instead of giving up the yellow jersey and all the podium duties, Pogacar could not restrain himself and kept the jersey by 11 seconds.

    • Pog’s Achilles‘ heel is that he can’t help responding to any Roglic move.

      As odd as it sounds, he might have an imposter complex when it comes to who should be the first Slovenian to win a TDF. Deep down he might feel that person should have been Roglic. He fears a Roglic “come back” (whatever that might entail in his mind) and over reacted as a result.

  6. The Jumbo Visma/Sky comparison is interesting. When Sky won with Wiggins in 2012 they also won a lot of stages between him, Froome, Cavendish and Boassan-Hagen, and obviously finished 1-2 on GC. But it’s almost like they found that too stressful and thereafter completely rejected that approach and went all in with Froome and his mountain train. It may be that as 2012 was quite heavy on TT’s it gave them enough wiggle room to play a bit, and the reduction in TT’s thereafter meant they had to concentrate on smothering the mountain stages to be sure of winning.
    It’s also interesting that Alaphilippe might potentially move when his contract expires. I thought him and Evenepoel would overlap too much. It’s risky for QS though. They’ve been steadily off loading big names for years and have been knocked off their perch in both the overall win list and the classics.

  7. Probably impossible to do with accuracy since team budgets are not published by all of ’em but I’d like to see a chart with the wins divided into the team budget. My guess is Q/S would come out on top? Would Israel be at the bottom?

  8. Near the bottom, probably – but I’m not sure their budget was three times bigger than that of Astana.

    Anyway, the chart I’d like to see – even if just for fun – would show which teams got more and which teams less wins than the combined wisdom of experts – whether real or just typical seat-of-the-pants armchair forecasters like me – would have given them before the season.

    (The Inner Ring pretty much gives us such a chart in verbal form, though.)

  9. It will be interesting to see how theses charts compare in 3 years time after the next WT cycle. Wegelius at EF says they’re going for points from Jan 1 and they’re probably not the only team.

    • Which means, I guess, that EF will be riding more non-WT races than they have in the past. I have to admit that seeing Bettiol or Powless race Tro-Bro Léon (for example) would be entertaining!

      • It’ll be better for “minor races” but I can see the Giro and Vuelta suffer as teams will decide to go for points at one day races instead.

        • Vaughters has now confirmed that, even though it’s “absurd”, EF will be doing more races, but “We’re not going to chase around races in Belgium and France.” As for next year’s Tour, “That being said, the route’s a nice gift from ASO. So, thank you.” (very little TT-ing in other words)

          • I believe that what Vaughters considered absurd was the way some teams chose to race in order to haul in a maximum amount of points: their objective was to have three riders in top ten, because it brought them more points than a win and two also rans would have done (and certainly more than a 2nd or 3rd and two also rans, I might add).

            PS I’m not altogether convinced that this kind of calculating but dull – and absurd – racing was such a common occurrence even in the second half of the season. The teams that resorted to that kind of play were the ones that did not have (in the finale) a rider who could have realistically won the race, even with the help of his team mates.

    • We’ll look at the ProTeam rankings soon as there’s a lot going on in this tier, with teams capable of winning in the World Tour and teams who struggle to get a of any kind.

      But it’s interesting to see where the two promotion candidates fit:
      – Alpecin-Fenix, they got 33 wins and 34 second places, they really look like a World Tour team especially as they’ve become a lot less dependent on Mathieu van der Poel who is their star rider but he had relatively poor year by his standards, only 5 wins although with the Ronde.
      – Arkéa-Samsic got 12 wins and 22 second places, they made the World Tour but just, they’re not so much of a compelling promotion so it’ll be interesting to see what they do

  10. Desperation at B & B Hotels. The riders are calling in their union and Pineau has nothing to say for sure on new sponsorship when there’s 10 days to go on the UCI clock.
    They have new BMC bikes in hand. The Paris connection seems still to be in play, but no reason why it’s not solid by now.

    • Read the same story, the problem is the Paris connection isn’t meant to be putting any money in, just the identity. Meanwhile they’ve burned the bridge with Brittany which was also funding the team. Orluis Aular was supposed to be joining the team but today he’s renewed with Caja Rural, presumably out of safety.

      None of the riders seem to know any more and we should find out by next week what is, or I fear, isn’t happening.

      One aspect that’s not got much traction in the English-speaking cycling media is Pineau’s partner in this is Didier Quillot, who was involved in French football and Mediapro. To cut a long story short Mediapro bought the rights to show French football but it imploded having promised hundreds of millions to French football. Quillot had lots of explaining to do.

      • I wondered a while ago where all the B&B rumors were coming from and it seems Didier Quillot is the likely source.
        Interesting that Mediapro wanted first to get Italian football TV rights but after “due diligence” by the Italians (checking out if Mediapro had money) said, no thanks and arrivederci!
        Where to now for Cav and his sprint team?

        • To Israel – Premier Tech, of course! Cavendish would be great to have in the team as a “trophy rider” (i.e. much like Froome), but he would also practically guarantee a wild card for the team and a stage win for him in July is not the very distinct possibility it always was for Froome post-injury.

          PS Israel has just let Nicki Sørensen and two other DSs go and hired two new ones. Normal business, I suppose, but I cannot help thinking that there was a certain need to find a fall guy (or two or three) so that everyone can think that now we make a new start…

          • I challenge the idea that Cav to IPT means a guaranteed Wild Card invite to Le Tour. He’s not French. I’m not sure the French, or anyone outside the UK really, wants to see Merckx’s record broken by him. Not because he’s Cav, but because he’s a sprinter. I get the sense he’s not that popular with teammates either. Plus Adams has pissed off ASO. If B&B survives but doesn’t sign Cav they get the 3rd spot and then I wouldn’t be surprised at Uno X or Q36.5 ahead of IPT.

          • The more I think about this B&B Hotels story the more ludicrous (and tragic for their current riders) it becomes. A large company is expected to sponsor a team, not guaranteed a place at the tour, with a large amount to hire a 38 year old (next year) non-French sprinter, without a sprint team, to maybe win one stage (at a Tour with minimal truely flat stages) against the best sprinters (not to mention van Aert), just to beat a record. On top of that there’s a good chance that Cav will struggle to make it to Paris at all.

          • Cavendish or not, it’s been notable that firms linked to the team like Carrefour and Amazon have gone public to say “no, it’s not for us”. Indeed why would large multinationals want to back a second tier team? A lot of this hasn’t made sense from the start.

            I think Cavendish would be a big help to get a wildcard. With Total and Lotto-Dstny, There are only two spots left. Israel won two stages and so have a good chance. B&B need something to persuade ASO to pick them rather than Uno-X.

            If B&B don’t get the invite then B&B hotels won’t stay around. So the team were probably in the last chance saloon (see February’s already.

  11. After reading about Thomas’s troubles at Ineos, I realized he’s in the same position as Roglic. He wants to do the Giro, but management will probably want him as backup at the Tour if Bernal has problems.

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